It is obvious that the recent meetings of the
Sudan- South Sudan joint political and security committee in Juba have failed
to reach any agreement on the issues of difference between the two countries,
so that they announced a forthcoming meeting for the committee in Khartoum.
South Sudan says the
talks were deadlocked over Khartoum’s demand to deploy joint patrols on the
common border of South Kordofan and Blue Nile where the government is fighting
the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement –North (SPLM-N) rebels.
What is very clear is
that the key obstacle for the negotiations is the security file and
particularly the relationship between the South Sudan and the SPLM-N, where the
government of Sudan reiterates its position that the South Sudanese government
should disengage with the rebel SPLM-N, arguing that it is incredible that the
oil passes through the Sudanese territory to feed the treasury of a nation
supporting the insurgency and armed movements.
Meanwhile, the African
Union, which earlier urged the Sudanese government and the SPLM-N to begin
direct negotiations supervised by the AU high-level panel before Nov. 10 2012,
issued a statement on Tuesday citing logistic reasons for the delay.
The statement explained
that consultations are ongoing to announce a date for the direct talks aimed at
ending the conflict in Blue Nile and South Kurdufan states.
The AU statement said
timely implementation of the security agreement between Sudan and South Sudan
is vital for building trust and paving the way for going through with the rest
of agreements signed in Addis Ababa.
So the negotiations on
the SPLM-N situation, I believe, should not be linked or conditioned to the
ongoing negotiations between the two countries, particularly the oil issue,
since the two countries are now in dire need to the resumption of oil
production, as they are both heading very quickly towards a fiscal cliff.
The two ruling parties
in Sudan and South Sudan have a long record of "promises made and promises
broken”, yet this time they just cannot get back from the agreements they
reached, since they imply sanctions in case of not fully implemented!
The dire need of the
two countries of oil revenues should motivate them to resolve their differences
peacefully. Taking into account that most of the oil infrastructure in the
region are in Sudan, while 70% plus of the oil located in the south Sudan,
therefore any unilateral action will not serve the interest of either one
because the oil is the lifeline of both economies.
I have recently read an
article for a South Sudanese Professor of Sociology, Anne Bartlett, who wroteabout the same issue, and I liked very much her quotation to Einstein in which
he quipped that “the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and
over again and expecting different results”!
I hope that the governments
of the two states of Sudan would understand that such differences would
negatively affect the two sides which will be an additional burden on their
economies that are already being bogged down by the continuing faults.
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